State first-round football previews, predictions and livestream links
We opened the first week of the postseason with a 11-2 week, pushing our season record to 117-34 (77.5 percent). We had one near-perfect score, missing each team’s score by a single point. We also had another perfect score, just with the wrong winner.
Here is how it broke down:
Predicted: Skyview 20, Puyallup 13
Actual: Skyview 14, Puyallup 11
Predicted: Camas 31, North Creek 14
Actual: North Creek 31, Camas 14
Predicted: Kelso 27, Gig Harbor 20
Actual: Kelso 45, Gig Harbor 34
Predicted: Rainier Beach 35, Mountain View 20
Actual: Rainier Beach 38, Mountain View 7
Predicted: Washougal 33, Shelton 13
Actual: Washougal 38, Shelton 34
Predicted: Mark Morris 26, Black Hills 13
Actual: Black Hills 21, Mark Morris 20
Predicted: Tumwater 41, Ridgefield 20
Actual: Tumwater 35, Ridgefield 14
Predicted: W.F. West 35, Woodland 6
Predicted: W.F. West 34, Woodland 7
Predicted: La Center 34, Hoquiam 6
Actual: La Center 63, Hoquiam 14
Predicted: Eatonville 34, Castle Rock 13
Actual: Eatonville 24, Castle Rock 18
Predicted: Montesano 44, Seton Catholic 14
Actual: Montesano 47, Seton Catholic 7
Predicted: Tenino 55, King’s Way Christian 12
Actual: Tenino 54, King’s Way Christian 0
Predicted: Raymond/South Bend 26, Kalama 13
Actual: Raymond/South Bend 48, Kalama 42
Here are preview caps for Week 11 with predictions and links to livestreams (don’t get caught getting scammed; these have all been validated).
Kelso (7-2) vs. Ferndale (8-2)
When: 7 p.m. Friday
Where: Civic Stadium, Bellingham
What: 3A state first round game
Livestream: None.
Last week: Kelso beat Gig Harbor 45-34; Ferndale beat Seattle Prep 35-14.
Last meeting: Ferndale 45, Kelso 6, Nov. 26, 2004.
Game notes: Kelso is the No. 10 seed; Ferndale is No. 7. The winner will face No. 15 Spanaway Lake or No. 2 Eastside Catholic. Ferndale won the 3A Wesco. The Eagles opened the season 1-2 in non-league playoff with losses to Lynden (24-7), the No. 1 2A team, and Glacier Peak (42-14), a 4A playoff team. Kelso has a similar resume. Kelso lost to Tumwater (38-19), the No. 7 2A team, and Camas (45-21), a 4A playoff team. Kelso likes to run the ball, gaining 327 yards in a win over Gig Harbor. Nevada-bound Conner Noah rushed for 200. But Ferndale knows how to defend the run. The Eagles did that four weeks ago against run-heavy Stanwood. And Ferndale rushed for 467 yards in its win last week.
Prediction: Ferndale 28, Kelso 20
Washougal (9-1) vs. Highline (9-1)
When: 7 p.m. Friday
Where: Highline Memorial Stadium, Burien
What: 2A state first round game.
Livestream: NFHS Network (subscription required)
Last week: Washougal beat Shelton 38-34; Highline beat Orting 28-14.
Last meeting: First meeting.
Game notes: Washougal is the No. 9 seed; Highline is No. 8. The winner will play No. 16 Black Hills or No. 1 Lynden. Highline head coach Devontae Cooper, in his fourth season, has turned the Pirates from a struggling program into back-to-back 2A Kingco champions. Highline dominated league play. The Pirates’ lone loss came to 4A Kennedy Catholic, 41-6 in Week 2. Highline was less dominating in Week 10, but still posted a solid win over Orting, building a 21-0 lead in the third quarter. Washougal had problems stopping Shelton’s inside run game. Highline also likes to run, but the Pirates prefer to get the ball outside in space, allowing their athletes to make big plays. Highline hasn’t faced an offense like Washougal’s, led by QB Holden Bea, since falling to Kennedy Catholic.
Prediction: Highline 35, Washougal 27
Cashmere (8-2) vs. La Center (9-1)
When: 7 p.m. Friday
Where: Beaver Stadium, Woodland HS, Woodland.
What: 1A state first round game
Livestream: NFHS Network (subscription required)
Last week: Cashmere beat Colville 12-6; La Center beat Hoquiam 63-14.
Last meeting: First meeting
Game notes: Cashmere is the No. 11 seed; La Center is No. 6. The winner will face No. 14 Riverside or No. 3 Nooksack Valley. Cashmere was the Caribou Trail League runner-up. The Bulldogs’ two losses came to No. 9 Toppenish (34-19 in Week 4) and league champion Omak (33-15). Omak was eliminated in a Week 10 crossover. Cashmere beat Colville 12-6 in the other district crossover. In soggy conditions last week, Cashmere QB Trenton Mason completed 11 of 14 passes for 78 yards, and the Bulldogs rushed for 133 yards as a team. Cashmere also intercepted three passes. Now the Bulldogs face a La Center defense that has been shutting down opponents lately. The Wildcat defense did not allow Hoquiam to score an offensive touchdown until after last week’s game had moved to a running clock. La Center scored 31 points or better for the sixth time in its last seven games.
Prediction: La Center 31, Cashmere 13
Skyview (8-2) vs. Graham-Kapowsin (8-2)
When: 4 p.m. Saturday
Where: Art Crate Field, Spanaway
What: 4A state first round game
Livestream: NFHS Network (subscription required).
Last week: Skyview beat Puyallup 14-11; Graham-Kapowsin beat Mount Si 35-14
Last meeting: First meeting.
Game notes: Skyview is the No. 11 seed; Graham-Kapowsin is the No. 6 seed. The winner plays either No. 14 Woodinville or No. 3 Sumner. Graham-Kapowsin tied for second in the South Puget Sound League. The Eagles have won five straight after September losses to Sumner (34-31) and Puyallup (30-13), the team Skyview beat to reach the state playoffs. G-K junior quarterback Daveon Superales has thrown for 1,719 yards and 17 touchdowns. HIs top targets are junior Jabez Woods (44 catches, 640 yards) and sophomore Khris Norris (41-495). Like the Eagles, the Storm are also young but talented. Junior quarterback Jake Kennedy has passed for 1,500 yards and 18 touchdowns. But the Storm showed they can also win with the run game and defense, which they did in last week’s poor weather conditions. Saturday’s weather will allow both offenses to open things up more.
Prediction: Graham-Kapowsin 28, Skyview 23
