Hot 4th of July, or more of the same?
As we look ahead to the 4th of July weekend people are wondering, will we see a cool and drippy holiday weekend or will the latest long range models bless us with plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures into the 80’s? Well, it all depends on whether or not you are a “betting” kind of person. If you bet on historical averages, then you won’t get a hot 4th of July. Off of the top of my head, it has been since 1998 and 1999 since we had a washout on the 4th of July. In fact, 1998’s .21″ is the wettest on record for the Portland / Vancouver area. Records date back to 1938.
The last decade has brought us some of our warmest 4th of July’s on record. What about this talk of a really hot 4th of July again this year? The La Nina of last winter is fading, but we are still seeing some hints of it. Today’s cold trough over the Pacific Northwest is a prime example. As I look at the latest data, there appears to be plenty of sunshine in store for this coming weekend and it may just last into early next as well. Just how hot will it get? That is still up in the air. I am hesitant at this point to call for super hot weather. By the way, super hot means anything over 90 for the 4th of July. The record for the 4th of July in Portland is 97 degrees set in 1972, followed closely by 1997’s 94, 2009’s 92 and 2007’s 90 degrees. But, if current forecast models hold up (and that is still “iffy” at this point in time, in my view) we could see 80-85 degrees locally. Hold your breath and cross your fingers! We deserve some nice weather over the 4th of July for all of the rain and cold weather we have experienced this spring.
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