Week 10 prep football playoff previews, predictions
You like to head into the postseason at you best.
But that’s not what happened with my football picks last week. I suffered my first sub. 500 week, going 5-6.
Yuck. It moved the season record to 88-27 (76.5 percent).
Time to regroup for the second season. These picks are for REAL now.
Here are the Week 10 previews:
FRIDAY’S PLAYOFF GAMES
CLASS 4A STATE PRELIMINARY
South Kitsap (6-3) vs. Camas (9-0)
When, where: 7:30 p.m., Doc Harris Stadium, Camas.
Radio: 1080 AM or www.1080thefan.com.
Last week: South Kitsap lost to Central Kitsap 21-14; Camas beat Battle Ground 49-21.
Game notes: South Kitsap of Port Orchard placed fourth in the 4A Narrows League with a 3-3 league mark. … South Kitsap’s senior running back Adam Gascoyne has rushed for 1,062 yards, including 200 on 33 carries last week. QB Kevin Whatley has passed for 1,137. Bryce Broome has eight intercepions on defense. … Camas QB Reilly Hennessey has passed for 1,987 yards and 20 TDs. Zach Eagle is his top target with 47 catches for 683 yards and 6 TDs. RB Nate Beasley rushed for 757 yards and 14 TDs. … The Wolves gave up a 243-yard rushing game to Central Kitsap’s Nick Zawadski last week. … If you want to play connect-the-scores, South Kitsap lost to Bellarmine Prep 31-12; Bellarmine suffered its only loss to Lakes 42-38; Camas pounded Lakes 53-14. All of those games were played in September. … Winner of this game will take the No. 1 seed from District 4 in the state bracket and host a first-round game next week.
Columbian’s take: The Papermakers have up impressive offensive numbers this season, and their defense may be their strength. Prediction: Camas 38-10
Union (6-3) vs. Graham-Kapowsin (8-1)
When, where: 7 p.m., Art Crate Field, Bethel HS, Spanaway.
Audio webcast: www.carlclick.com
Last week: Union lost to Skyview 35-17; Graham-Kapowsin beat Spanaway Lake 49-14.
Game notes: Graham-Kapowsin finished second in the 4A South Puget Sound League South Division with a 7-1 mark. … The Braves average 38.5 points a game. … Their only loss was a 62-28 defeat to No. 2 Federal Way in Week 3. Their only non-league game was 27-17 win at Post Falls, Idaho in Week 1. Post Falls finished the season 2-7. … GP’s Kahlil Dawson, a cornerback, is a Portland State recruit. He also had a 68-yard run and a TD reception in the win over Spanaway Lake last week. … Union RB Leon Siofele rushed for 751 yards and 16 TDs. Sophomore QB Nolan Henry passed for 1,097 yards and five TDs. … The Titans win and lose with defense, allowing an average of 11 points a game in their six wins and 35 in their three losses. … Winner of this game will be the No. 5 team from District 3 and will travel to play District 5/8 No. 1 on the east side of the state.
Columbian’s take: Teams that play almost exclusively league games are hard to gauge. Union’s three losses came to top-flight programs. Prediction: Union 31-28
CLASS 3A STATE PRELIMINARY
Bainbridge (4-5) vs. Columbia River (6-3)
When, where: 7 p.m., Kiggins Bowl.
Last week: Bainbridge beat West Seattle 47-20; Columbia River beat Mountain View 15-7.
Game notes: Bainbridge finished tied for third in the Metro League’s Mountain Division with a 2-4 record. … Among Bainbridge’s non-league losses was a 34-20 set back to Black Hills, a non-playof team from the 2A Evergreen Conference. … The Spartans played Camas in a 3A preliminary game last year and lost 58-0. … Playing connect-the-scores, Bainbridge lost to Black Hills; Black Hills lost to W.F. West 24-6; W.F. West beat River 18-16. … The Chieftains have won five straight since that loss to W.F. West. … River QB Clayton Frank was The Columbian’s football player of the week after passing for 173 yards and rushing for 131. … Frank passed for 1,076 yards and 8 TDs this season. … RB Remick Kawawaki rushed for 771 yards and 9 TDs. … Winner of this game will be the No. 1 team from District 4 and host a state first-round game next week.
Columbian’s take: History is not with the Metro League in this preliminary round game, and River is playing with confidence. Prediction: Columbia River 29-13
CLASS 2A DISTRICT PLAYOFFS
Capital (7-2) vs. Ridgefield (6-3)
When, where: 7 p.m., Ridgefield High School.
Radio: www.kgyradio.com
Last week: Capital beat River Ridge 55-18; Ridgefield lost to Aberdeen 15-9.
Game notes: Capital of Olympia is one of the larger school in Class 2A, having moved down from 3A last year; Ridgefield is the third-smallest 2A schools, moving up from 1A. … The teams have one common opponent: River Ridge. Ridgefield lost to River Ridge 61-40 after falling behind 47-8 in the first half. … Capital’s two losses were to Bellarmine Prep (No. 5 in Class 4A) and Tumwater (No. 3 in 2A). … The Cougars come into this game having won its last three games by an average score of 51-13. … Capital RB Kai Van Sickle has rushed for 1,797 yards and 26 TDs. He rushed for 312 yards and 5 TDs last week against River Ridge. … The Spudders are trying to regroup from a surprising loss to Aberdeen last week.
Columbian’s take: All signs point to a Capital win. Prediction: Capital 42-13
Hockinson (6-3) vs. Tumwater (8-1)
When, where: 7 p.m., Tumwater Stadium.
Audio webcast: www.elisportsnetwork.com
Last week: Hockinson beat Washougal 41-12; Tumwater beat Black Hills 35-7.
Game notes: Tumwater won the 2A Evergreen Conference with a 5-0 mark … The Thunderbirds haven’t loss since a Week 1 defeat against Class 3A Shelton … One common opponent: Tumwater beat River Ridge 27-12; River Ridge beat Hockinson 28-14. … Tumwater likes to run the ball, with several different players touching the ball. Senior Andrew Brown led the T-birds with 137 last week. … Hockinson is one of the smallest 2A schools in the state. The Hawks are 0-5 in these 2A district playoffs, and none of the games were particularly close. … Hockinson QB Jess Krahn has passed for 1,635 yards and 14 TDs.
Columbian’s take: Another tough playoff assignment for Hockinson. Prediction: Tumwater 38-6
CLASS 1A DISTRICT PLAYOFFS
Elma (4-5) vs. La Center (9-0)
When, where: 7 p.m., La Center Middle School.
Last week: Elma lost to Montesano 47-7; La Center beat Woodland 29-21.
Game notes: Elma finished fourth in the 1A Evergreen Conference with a 3-4 record. … Both teams have lopsided wins over Ilwaco. Elma lost to Tenino 50-22; La Center beat Tenino 40-6. … Elma likes to pass the ball with QB Layne Sutten. But the Wildcats have shut down passing games this season … RB Jared Huddleston leads La Center with 786 rushing yards and 12 TDs, but several Wildcats will touch the ball. If La Center wins, the Wildcats will take the district’s No. 1 seed to state and host a state first-round game next week.
Columbian’s take: Back-to-back tough wins over Toledo and Woodland have made the Wildcats playoff-ready. Prediction: La Center 36-13
Tenino (6-3) vs. Woodland (7-2)
When, where: 7 p.m., Woodland High School.
Audio webcast: www.elisportsnetwork.com
Last week: Tenino beat Rochester 50-6; Woodland lost to La Center 29-21.
Game notes: Tenino finished third in the 1A Evergreen Conference with a 5-2 record. … Both teams were routed by Montesano. Tenino lost to La Center 40-6. … QB Mac Shaw and wideout Devante Harris lead the Tenino offensive attack. … Shaw passed for 219 yards and 3 TDs last week vs. Rochester. Harris had 102 yards receiving and 90 rushing. … Woodland will to use its size up front to contain Tenino. … RBs Eli Whitmire (721 yards, 18 TDs) and Cy Whitmire (605 yards, 9 TDs) lead the Woodland attack.
Columbian’s take: Woodland overpowers Tenino in the battle of Beavers. Prediction: Woodland 36-23
SATURDAY’S GAMES
CLASS 4A STATE PRELIMINARY
Newport (6-3) vs. Skyview (7-2)
When, where: 5 p.m., Kiggins Bowl.
Last week: Newport beat Inglemoor 57-7; Skyview beat Union.
Game notes: Newport of Bellevue finished second in the 4A KingCo Conference’s Crown Division with a 4-1 record. … All three of the Knights’ losses have come to playoff teams: Capital (2A) 29-22, South Kitsap (4A) 33-27 and defending state champion Skyline (4A) 56-28. … The Knights are all about the ground game, averaging 357 yards rushing per game. Junior Conner Baumann leads the team with 1,049 yards and 11 TDs. Senior Isaac Dotson rushed for 872 yards and 15 TDs. … Skyview is more prone to pass the ball with its spread attack. QB Jordan Berni has passed for 1,671 yards and 15 TDs. … Jacob Dennis (23 catches, 421 yards) and Daniel Thompson (22-383) are the leading receivers, but Berni likes to spread the ball around. … Jabari Marshall (601 yards, 17 TDs) leads the ground game. … The winner of this game will the the No. 2 team from District 5 and will travel to the east side of the state to play District 5/8 No. 2 team.
Columbian’s take: A fast start may be key for Skyview. Prediction: Skyview 34-21
CLASS 3A STATE PRELIMINARY
Mountain View (5-4) vs. Marysville-Pilchuck (7-2)
When, where: 7 p.m., Quil Ceda Stadium, Marysville-Pilchuck HS
Audio webcast: www.carlclick.com
Last week: Marysville-Pilchuck lost to Glacier Peak 49-40; Mountain View lost to Columbia River 15-7.
Game notes: Marysville-Pilchuck placed first in the 3A Wesco Conference North Division with a 6-1 record. … The Tomahawks bring a potent offense, having scored 40 or more six times this season, including each of the past four games. … The Tomahawks rushed for 550 yards in a loss to Glacier Peak last week. … MP had two rushers gain more than 1,000 yards this season: Austin Joyner had 1,490 yards and 16 TDs and Casey Walker 1,330 yards and 10 TDs. … The Thunder also like to keep it on the ground. Austin Mace is the leading rusher with 986 yards and 9 TDs and Carl Falls with 932 yards and 9 TDs. … Mountain View comes into this game off back-to-back tough defensive losses.
Columbian’s take: This game figures to be a quick run with all these running plays. That’s good news for the Thunder. Prediction: Marysville-Pilchuck 42-13
